Thursday, October 3, 2024
HomeValue InvestingOcean Wilsons (OCN-LN) Update – Error in the NAV calculation

Ocean Wilsons (OCN-LN) Update – Error in the NAV calculation


Ocean Wilsons (OCN-LN) Update – Error in the NAV calculation

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The guy who is writing this has problems distinguishing USD and GBP. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!

A friendly reader alerted me that I made an error in the Ocean Wilson Special Situation NAV calculation. I seem to have gotten confused by the fact that Ocean Wilson reports in USD. I did translate the Wilson and Sons stake into GBP but not the investment portfolio. Instead of 319,6 mn GBP, the investment portfolio is worth 319,6 mn USD which equates ~ 239,7 mn GBP

So the initial calculation should have rather looked like this:

The expected return is a full -8% lower than inititally (and wrongly) calculated. Still not bad, but clearly less advantageous.

Based on this, I reduced the positon to a ~1% position.

I am deeply sorry for this mistake and a big thanks to the reader who alerted me. Going forward I will need to be more dilligent for these calculations-

One other remark: A reader congratulated that my post has moved the stock price. This is not my intent for the blog. I try to avoid writing about illiquid stocks as some readers tend not to read the posts and seem to blindly buy. With Ocean Wilson, I was very surprised how illiquid this 500 mn Market cap stock actually is. For me this is a good lesson for the future that I don’t write much about illiquid stocks. I leave that to others.

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